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echo: barktopus
to: Gary Britt
from: John Cuccia
date: 2005-12-15 11:58:26
subject: Re: Bang!

From: John Cuccia 

On Thu, 15 Dec 2005 12:19:46 -0500, "Gary Britt"
 wrote:

>No I'm not.  I was always speaking of what institutional investors, large
>funds, etc COLLECTIVELY were doing.  I never mentioned any SPECIFIC fund nor
>is any SPECIFIC fund relevant to my point.

And yet every SPECIFIC fund we've discussed has oilcos rated
"BUY", making the COLLECTIVE consensus exactly what you thought
it would be if institutional investors expected EXTRAORDINARY profits.

Here are some some consensus brokerage recommendations for the big five
integrated oils. Sorry for the formatting.  I got the info from (searching
on each company in turn):
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/analyst/recomnd.asp?Symbol=XOM

As you can see, all but Royal Dutch, which is still trying to regain
investor confidence after having been caught drastically overstating
reserves, are very highly regarded, as you suspected they would be if the
expectations for EXTRAORDINARY profit were there. Good call.

XOM
Analyst Ratings
Current
Strong Buy 11
Moderate Buy 4
Hold 5
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 0 0 0 0

CVX
Analyst Ratings
Recommendations
Strong Buy 10
Moderate Buy 3
Hold 6
Moderate Sell 0
Strong Sell 1
Mean Rec. 2

BP
Analyst Ratings
Recommendations
Strong Buy 12
Moderate Buy 3
Hold 4
Moderate Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

RDS
Analyst Ratings
Recommendations Current 1 Month Ago 2 Months Ago 3 Months Ago Strong Buy 2 2 2 2
Moderate Buy 0 0 0 0
Hold 3 3 4 4
Moderate Sell 0 0 0 0
Strong Sell 2 2 2 3
Mean Rec. 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.18

Analyst Ratings
Recommendations
Strong Buy 9
Moderate Buy 1
Hold 7
Moderate Sell 0
Strong Sell 0
Mean Rec. 2

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