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>William Elliot wrote to Mark Bloss about Back to Apes
>>> Mark Bloss on Back to Apes
MB> Hee! You're in a hurry huh? Earth was a greenhouse too, you know?
WE> Yea, but it got fixed by the early inhabitants.
So could Venus. A ha!
MB> We aren't going to be setting foot on Venus until it cools
MB> down in about a billion years or so. How can you possibly say "we'll
MB> never set foot there" when you won't be here in a billion years?
WE> What an optimist to think our species will persist for a billion
WE> years.
Certainly it is optimistic. Estimates predict that the Earth will be
very much like Mars is now in about a billion or two years. One, the
Earth is moving away from the sun ever so slightly, and two, the Sun
is growing ever so slightly cooler, so that in 1 or 2 billion years
Earth's orbit will be 1.5x the distance from the sun than it is now,
and the sun in 2 billion years will be about 5%-15% cooler. At that
time, the mean temperature on the surface of this planet (if we don't
create a nuclear holocaust to keep it warmer) will be about -230 to
-170 F. And if we do create a nuclear holocaust to keep it warmer,
that will leave this planet as barren as our neighbor is now with a
mean temperature of about -130 to -70 F.
Here is some more speculation:
It is possible, that life didn't begin on Earth, but on Mars instead.
And the species that thrived there became space-farers like ourselves
6.5 billion years ago, accidentally or intentionally "seeding" their
venusian Earth next door, before blowing themselves away in a nuclear
holocaust. Who can say what microbes we may already have inadvertantly
dispersed on various solarian neighbors?
WE> At 90% Earth gravity and 90 atms we'd have to make rockets 80 times
WE> more powerful.
Okay - but if life has started or will start on Venus - don't you think
it will adapt to the conditions? Especially since those conditions will
drastically change over the next 1 to 2 billion years? And if we want
to investigate Venus now, we don't need to make huge rockets. Just a
probe about the size of a June Bug will do, and just as powerful.
... One fifth of the people are against everything all the time.
--- GEcho 1.11++TAG 2.7c
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