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echo: barktopus
to: Robert Comer
from: Gary Wiltshire
date: 2006-04-15 09:56:56
subject: Re: Don`t worry

From: "Gary Wiltshire" 

On Sat, 15 Apr 2006 09:49:55 -0400, Robert Comer
 wrote:

>> It's only "simple" when you are plugging in the right values for
>> variables
>> as I said below.
>
> No, it's simple no matter the values you state, the values you state only
> help predict current weather, and more accurately predict long term
> trends,
> but that doesn't mean we can't predict long term trends given what we
> know
> now.
>
> We know there is global warming, we know that more heat means more
> energy,
> and we know large storms feed off that.
>
>> Some of it though is not "simple" at all if you are 
trying to predict a
>> particular storm for example as opposed to a large  trend.
>
> I'm not talking about predicting single storms here.
>

Well we might be talking past each other with regard to "simple"
but my basic point remains that there are vital numbers (like albedo) which
are, and have been, lacking.

--
Gary Wiltshire

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