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echo: barktopus
to: All
from: Adam
date: 2007-06-14 14:21:54
subject: Some interesting Iranian developments

From: Adam <""4thwormcastfromthemolehill\"{at}the field.near
the bridge">

1) http://www.menewsline.com/stories/2007/june/06_07_1.html

" WASHINGTON [MENL] -- The Bush administration has decided not to
strike Iran's nuclear facilities.

Administration sources said President George Bush has decided that barring
a "catastrophic development," the United States would not attack
Iran. The sources said the administration has been relaying the decision to
U.S. allies in the Middle East.

"The United States has decided that Iran's cooperation was needed for
a withdrawal from Iraq," an administration source said. "There
won't be a situation where there will be cooperation and then war with
Iran."

The sources said the administration plans to discuss its decision with
Israel during their annual strategic dialogue, which takes place on
Wednesday in Washington. The Israeli delegation would be headed by
Transportation Minister Shaul Mofaz, a former defense minister and military
chief of staff. Mofaz was scheduled to meet Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice and other senior administration officials."


2)
http://in.today.reuters.com/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=worldNews&storyID=2007-0
6-13T150610Z_01_NOOTR_RTRMDNC_0_India-302887-1.xml

"The U.N. nuclear watchdog believes Iran could be running 8,000
centrifuges enriching uranium by year end, raising a significant risk it
could make atomic bombs, diplomats say, although not everyone agrees."

" Tehran is on pace to having 3,000 on line in July, diplomats briefed
on International Atomic Energy Agency inspections said -- enough to yield
enriched material for one bomb within a year.

Further, IAEA director Mohamed ElBaradei has told U.S. and EU leaders
trying to foil Iran's atomic ambitions with sanctions that their policy has
been "overtaken by events" and that Tehran looked on target for
8,000 centrifuges by December, they said."

" A Vienna diplomat said it was possible Iran could now produce all
the centrifuges it wanted to operate rather than have to obtain parts via
foreign black markets as before.

But, while ElBaradei's estimate was accurate based on what the IAEA knew of
Iran's current progress, he added, "it is also incomplete in that the
quality of what is being produced seems still to be in question".

"Given that the IAEA has increasingly limited insights into Iran's
centrifuge programme," a Western diplomat said, "it's more and
more difficult for any expert to make solid predictions on their
pace." "

When do we break out the "Welcome to the nuclear club banners"?


Adam

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