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echo: crossfire
to: Jeff Binkley
from: Bob Klahn
date: 2008-10-24 22:31:00
subject: Debates

...

BK>> Social security is *NOT* imploding, and is still the best
BK>> retirement investment the average American has got. Take a look
BK>> at how the 401Ks are doing. It's a favorite topic of discussion
BK>> where I work.

 JB> Typical union man.  My 401K is doing much better than
 JB> Social Security, even with it being down 20% this year.  I
 JB> was up double digits the past 10 out of 12 years and have
 JB> 30% in fixed income.

 Which is not all that meaningful. Double digits is 10%.

 Over the long run Social Security has historically paid off
 better than pretty much any private sector retirement
 investment. The last few years before the 2000 drop was higher
 than normal, and resulted in the overvalued market that led to
 the collapse.

 If the market manages to drop to aprox 7000 it will have dropped
 50%. If in not much over a year that would truly be a major
 crash. Well, it is already. We went through this back in the
 '70s, we don't need to do it again.



BOB KLAHN bob.klahn{at}sev.org   http://home.toltbbs.com/bobklahn

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