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from: Jeff Binkley
date: 2008-12-10 15:47:00
subject: Global Warming

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_
id=2158072e-802a-23ad-45f0-274616db87e6


UN Blowback: More Than 650 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made
Global Warming Claims
December 10, 2008

Posted by Marc Morano  9:36 AM ET - Marc_Morano{at}EPW.Senate.GOV

UN Blowback: More Than 650 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made
Global Warming Claims

Study: Half of warming due to Sun! Sea Levels Fail to Rise? - Warming Fears in
'Dustbin of History'

POZNAN, Poland - The UN global warming conference currently underway in Poland
is about to face a serious challenge from over 650 dissenting scientists from
around the globe who are criticizing the climate claims made by the UN IPCC and
former Vice President Al Gore.  Set for release this week, a newly updated U.S.
Senate Minority Report features the dissenting voices of over 650 international
scientists, many current and former UN IPCC scientists, who have now turned
against the UN. The report has added about 250 scientists (and growing) in 2008
to the over 400 scientists who spoke out in 2007. The over 650 dissenting
scientists are more than 12 times the number of UN scientists (52) who authored
the media hyped IPCC 2007 Summary for Policymakers.
The U.S. Senate report is the latest evidence of the growing groundswell of
scientific opposition rising to challenge the UN and Gore. Scientific meetings
are now being dominated by a growing number of skeptical scientists. The
prestigious International Geological Congress, dubbed the geologists'
equivalent of the Olympic Games, was held in Norway in August 2008 and
prominently featured the voices and views of scientists skeptical of man-made
global warming fears. [See Full report Here: & See: Skeptical scientists
overwhelm conference: '2/3 of presenters and question-askers were hostile to,
even dismissive of, the UN IPCC' ]

Full Senate Report Set To Be Released in the Next 24 Hours  Stay Tuned

A hint of what the upcoming report contains:

I am a skepticGlobal warming has become a new religion. - Nobel Prize Winner
for Physics, Ivar Giaever.

Since I am no longer affiliated with any organization nor receiving any
funding, I can speak quite frankly.As a scientist I remain skeptical. -
Atmospheric Scientist Dr. Joanne Simpson, the first woman in the world to
receive a PhD in meteorology  and formerly of NASA who has authored more than
190 studies and has been called among the most preeminent scientists of the
last 100 years.

Warming fears are the worst scientific scandal in the historyWhen people come
to know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists. -
UN IPCC Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD
environmental physical chemist.

The IPCC has actually become a closed circuit; it doesnt listen to others. It
doesnt have open minds I am really amazed that the Nobel Peace Prize has been
given on scientifically incorrect conclusions by people who are not geologists,
- Indian geologist Dr. Arun D. Ahluwalia at Punjab University and a board
member of the UN-supported International Year of the Planet.

The models and forecasts of the UN IPCC "are incorrect because they only are
based on mathematical models and presented results at scenarios that do not
include, for example, solar activity. - Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a
researcher at the Institute of Geophysics of the National Autonomous University
of Mexico

It is a blatant lie put forth in the media that makes it seem there is only a
fringe of scientists who dont buy into anthropogenic global warming. - U.S
Government Atmospheric Scientist Stanley B. Goldenberg of the Hurricane
Research Division of NOAA.

Even doubling or tripling the amount of carbon dioxide will virtually have
little impact, as water vapour and water condensed on particles as clouds
dominate the worldwide scene and always will.  . Geoffrey G. Duffy, a professor
in the Department of Chemical and Materials Engineering of the University of
Auckland, NZ.

After reading [UN IPCC chairman] Pachauri's asinine comment [comparing skeptics
to] Flat Earthers, it's hard to remain quiet. - Climate statistician Dr.
William M. Briggs, who specializes in the statistics of forecast evaluation,
serves on the American Meteorological Society's Probability and Statistics
Committee and is an Associate Editor of Monthly Weather Review.

For how many years must the planet cool before we begin to understand that the
planet is not warming? For how many years must cooling go on?" - Geologist Dr.
David Gee the chairman of the science committee of the 2008 International
Geological Congress who has authored 130 plus peer reviewed papers, and is
currently at Uppsala University in Sweden.

Gore prompted me to start delving into the science again and I quickly found
myself solidly in the skeptic campClimate models can at best be useful for
explaining climate changes after the fact. - Meteorologist Hajo Smit of
Holland, who reversed his belief in man-made warming to become a skeptic, is a
former member of the Dutch UN IPCC committee.

Many [scientists] are now searching for a way to back out quietly (from
promoting warming fears), without having their professional careers ruined. -
Atmospheric physicist James A. Peden, formerly of the Space Research and
Coordination Center in Pittsburgh.

Creating an ideology pegged to carbon dioxide is a dangerous nonsenseThe
present alarm on climate change is an instrument of social control, a pretext
for major businesses and political battle. It became an ideology, which is
concerning. - Environmental Scientist Professor Delgado Domingos of Portugal,
the founder of the Numerical Weather Forecast group, has more than 150
published articles.

CO2 emissions make absolutely no difference one way or another.Every scientist
knows this, but it doesnt pay to say soGlobal warming, as a political vehicle,
keeps Europeans in the drivers seat and developing nations walking barefoot. -
Dr. Takeda Kunihiko, vice-chancellor of the Institute of Science and Technology
Research at Chubu University in Japan.

The [global warming] scaremongering has its justification in the fact that it
is something that generates funds. - Award-winning Paleontologist Dr. Eduardo
Tonni, of the Committee for Scientific Research in Buenos Aires and head of the
Paleontology Department at the University of La Plata.  # #

In addition, the report will feature new peer-reviewed scientific studies and
analyses refuting man-made warming fears and a heavy dose of inconvenient
climate developments. (See Below: Study: Half of warming due to Sun! Sea Levels
Fail to Rise? - Warming Fears in 'Dustbin of History')

The Senate Minority Report is an update of 2007s blockbuster U.S. Senate
Minority Report of over 400 dissenting scientists. See here: This new report
will contain the names, quotes and analyses of literally hundreds of additional
international scientists who publicly dissented from man-made climate fears in
just 2008 alone. The chorus of scientific voices skeptical grow louder as a
steady stream of peer-reviewed studies, analyses and real world data challenge
the UN and former Vice President Al Gore's claims that the "science is
settled"
and there is a "consensus." The original 2007 U.S. Senate report
is available
here:  Full Report Set To Be Released in the Next 24 Hours  Stay Tuned

Meanwhile, while the UN climate conference is in session here in Poznan, the
bad scientific news for promoters of man-made climate alarm just keeps rolling
in. Below is a very small sampling of very inconvenient developments for Gore,
the United Nations, and their promoters in the mainstream media. Peer-reviewed
studies, analyses, and prominent scientists continue to speak out to refute
climate fears. The data presented below is just from the past week.
#

Peer-reviewed study: Half of recent warming was solar! - December 10, 2008

Excerpt:  In this dose of peer-reviewed skeptical climatological literature, we
follow Climate Research News. The blog was intrigued by a new article in
Geophysical Research Letters that was accepted on Friday, December 5th.
Eichler, A., S. Olivier, K. Henderson, A. Laube, J. Beer, T. Papina, H. W.
Gggeler, and M. Schwikowski: Temperature response in the Altai region lags
solar forcing - Recall that the Siberian Altai Mountains are found at the
intersection of Russia, China, Mongolia, and Kazakhstan. The authors looked at
750 years worth of the local ice core, especially the oxygen isotope. They
claim to have found a very strong correlation between the concentration of this
isotope (i.e. temperature) on one side and the known solar activity in the
epoch 1250-1850. Their data seem to be precise enough to determine the lag,
about 10-30 years. It takes some time for the climate to respond to the solar
changes. It seems that they also have data to claim that the correlation gets
less precise after 1850. They attribute the deviation to CO2 and by comparing
the magnitude of the forcings, they conclude that "Our results are in agreement
with studies based on NH temperature reconstructions [Scafetta et al., 2007]
revealing that only up to approximately 50% of the observed global warming in
the last 100 years can be explained by the Sun." Well, the word
"only" is
somewhat cute in comparison with the "mainstream" fashionable ideology. The
IPCC said that they saw a 90% probability that "most" of the
recent warming was
man-made. The present paper would reduce this figure, 90%, to less than 50%
because the Sun itself is responsible for 1/2 of the warming and not the whole
50% of the warming could have been caused by CO2 because there are other
effects, too. Note that if 0.3 °C or 0.4 °C of warming in the 20th century was
due to the increasing CO2 levels, the climate sensitivity is decisively smaller
than 1 °C. At any rate, the expected 21st century warming due to CO2 would be
another 0.3-0.4 °C, and this time, if the solar activity contributes with the
opposite sign, these two effects could cancel. Even if you try to stretch these
numbers a little bit - but not unrealistically - you have to become sure that
the participants of the Poznan conference are lunatics.

Flashback: New scientific analysis shows Sun could account for as much as 69%
of the increase in Earth's average temperature (LINK) & (LINK)

Dr. Bruce West, A U.S Army Chief Scientist, Says Sun, Not Man, Is Driving
Climate Change  June 3, 2008  (LINK)

21 spotless days and solar magnetic field still in a funk  Meteorologist
Anthony Watts Excerpt: We are now at 21 days with no sunspots, it will be
interesting to see if we reach a spotless 30 day period and then perhaps a
spotless month of December.

New Arctic ice analysis reveals No clear evidence of a delay in the start of
the later summer/early fall freeze up or the start of the late winter/early
spring melt  Excerpt: Based on analysis by William Chapman, author of The
Cryosphere Today website, graciously prepared an analysis of the dates of the
minimum and maximum Arctic sea ice coverage since 1979.

Oscillation Rules as the Pacific Cools  December 9, 2008 Excerpt: A cool wedge
of lower-than-normal sea-surface heights continues to dominate the tropical
Pacific, ringed by a horseshoe of warmer waters. The continuation of this
long-term cool phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation stacks the odds against
a wetter-than-average winter/spring in the southwestern United States. The
latest image of sea-surface height measurements from the U.S./French Jason-1
oceanography satellite shows the Pacific Ocean remains locked in a strong, cool
phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, a large, long-lived pattern of
climate variability in the Pacific associated with a general cooling of Pacific
waters. []  Sea-surface temperature satellite data from the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration mirror Jason sea-surface height measurements,
clearly showing a cool Pacific Decadal Oscillation pattern, as seen at:
http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/sst/sst.anom.gif . "This multi-year Pacific
Decadal Oscillation 'cool' trend can cause La Nia-like impacts around the
Pacific basin," said Bill Patzert, an oceanographer and climatologist at NASA's
Jet Propulsion Laboratory. [] This cool phase will likely persist this winter
and, perhaps, beyond.

Report: Sea Level rise 'has stumbled since 2005'  Meteorologist Anthony Watts
December 5, 2008 Excerpt: Weve been waiting for the UC web page to be updated
with the most recent sea level data. It finally has been updated for 2008. It
looks like the steady upward trend of sea level as measured by satellite has
stumbled since 2005. The 60 day line in blue tells the story. From the
University of Colorado web page: Long-term mean sea level change is a variable
of considerable interest in the studies of global climate change. The
measurement of long-term changes in global mean sea level can provide an
important corroboration of predictions by climate models of global warming.
Long term sea level variations are primarily determined with two different
methods. - Yes, I would agree, it is indeed a variable of considerable
interest. The question now is, how is it linked to global climate change (aka
global warming) if CO2 continues to increase, and sea level does not?

Peer-Reviewed Study: Recent worldwide land warming' NOT 'a direct response to
increasing greenhouse gases (GHGs) over land' - WorldClimateReport.com
December 3, 2008 Rethinking Observed Warming? Key quote: Evidence is presented
that the recent worldwide land warming has occurred largely in response to a
worldwide warming of the oceans rather than as a direct response to increasing
greenhouse gases (GHGs) over land.

Alert: 2008 will be coolest year of the decade!- December 5, 2008 Excerpt: This
year is set to be the coolest since 2000, according to a preliminary estimate
of global average temperature that is due to be released next week by the Met
Office. The global average for 2008 should come in close to 14.3C, which is
0.14C below the average temperature for 2001-07. [Note: For evidence of the
panic apparently gripping the promoters of man-made climate fear, read the
quotes in the article from the warming partisans absolutely assuring everyone
that cool temperatures are absolutely not" evidence that global warming is on
the wane. Those same voices are usually absent when it comes to linking heat
waves to global warming. ]

Flashback: Global Cooling? - 'Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof' -
National Post  October 20, 2008

Report: NASAs James Hansen "adjusts" a cooling trend into a warming trend -
December 9, 2008 Excerpt: "[H]ere is what the data looks like before and after
NASA GISS adjusts it. These are the USHCN raw and homogenized data plots from
the GISTEMP website. The before and after is quite something to behold. ...
What was down, is now up." "How not to measure temperature, part 79"

Geophysist: It is time to file this theory in the dustbin of history  Alarmists
are in denial and running for cover'- Washington Times

By Geophysicist Dr. David Deming, associate professor of arts and sciences at
the University of Oklahoma who has published numerous peer-reviewed research
articles. Excerpt: Environmental extremists and global warming alarmists are in
denial and running for cover. Their rationale for continuing a lost cause is
that weather events in the short term are not necessarily related to long-term
climatic trends. But these are the same people who screamed at us each year
that ordinary weather events such as high temperatures or hurricanes were
undeniable evidence of imminent doom. Now that global warming is over,
politicians are finally ready to enact dubious solutions to a non-existent
problem. [] To the extent global warming was ever valid, it is now officially
over. It is time to file this theory in the dustbin of history, next to
Aristotelean physics, Neptunism, the geocentric universe, phlogiston, and a
plethora of other incorrect scientific theories, all of which had vocal and
dogmatic supporters who cited incontrovertible evidence. Weather and climate
change are natural processes beyond human control. To argue otherwise is to
deny the factual evidence.

Climate Chancellor' No More  Der Spiegel Excerpt: Angela Merkel is facing
withering criticism for remarks she made on Monday that seemed to back away
from her earlier commitment to tackling climate change.

Alert: Under the Weather: Internal Report Says U.N. Climate Agency Rife With
Bad Practices - Fox News  December 4, 2008

Excerpt: As more than 10,000 delegates and observers gather in Poznan, Poland,
to discuss the next phase in the battle against "climate change,"
a U.N. agency
at the center of that hoopla badly needs to do some in-house weather-proofing.
[] But the WMO, the $80 million U.N. front-line agency in the climate change
struggle, and the source for much of the world's information in the global
atmosphere and water supply, has serious management problems of its own,
despite its rapidly expanding global ambitions. The international agency has
been sharply criticized by a U.N. inspection unit in a confidential report
obtained by FOX News, for, among other things, haphazard budget practices,
deeply flawed organizational procedures, and no effective oversight by the 188
nations that formally make up its membership and dole out its funds. The
inspection was carried out by a member of the United Nations Joint Inspection
Unit (JIU), a small, independent branch of the U.N. that reports to the General
Assembly and is mandated to improve the organization's efficiency and
coordination through its inspection process. [] WMO did not respond to a series
of questions from FOX News regarding its future programs, sent on the eve of
the Poznan meeting.

16-year-old suggests sheep dung can help save planet Card business has really
dung good - Daily Post North WalesExcerpt: The company makes its products at
the Twll Golau Papermill in Aberllefenni Slate Quarry using sustainable fuel
and materials. Every sheet of paper is made from recycled materials, including
sheep dung, waste paper and discarded rags, using processes designed to affect
the natural environment as little as possible. [] Katie 16, from Tal-y-Bont,
Conwy, was appointed to help spread the word on how Wales can reduce its carbon
footprint and is urging other North Wales businesses to follow Creative Paper
Wales example and adopt innovative approaches to the design and manufacture of
products and the delivery of services.

Lord Christopher Monckton: 'Companies could be sued over climate change'
Excerpt: The alarmist faction knows that, if it were to bring a case against a
corporation whose executives were not minded merely to believe in the extremist
presentation of "global warming" just because it is temporarily in fashion,
they would lose. The case of Dimmock v. Secretaries of State for Education and
for the Environment in the UK in 2007 was a very clear warning. The UK
Government threw all of the resources of the taxpayer and of the Meteorological
Office at the case, attempting to defend Al Gore's sci-fi comedy horror movie
against the plaintiff's allegation that it was serially and seriously
inaccurate. The Government failed and was humiliated. The judge, having heard
both sides, said bluntly of Al Gore, and particularly of his unscientific
allegation that sea level was about to rise by 20 feet, that "the Armageddon
scenario that he depicts is not based on any scientific view". A few more
judgments like that and the "global warming" fantasy would
rapidly collapse.
End of scare.

OOPS, We Forgot Siberia! (M4GW) - Weather Stations in Coldest parts No Longer
Reporting

Excerpt: The thing that these skewed chart never take into account is that when
the Soviet Union fell in 1990 the number of reporting weather stations went
form a high of 15,000 in 1970 to 5,000 in 2000. This takes some of the coldest
places on the planet out of the equation like Siberia. # #

Related Links:

UN Data shows Warming has Stopped!  Climate Fears Called Hogwash  Global Carbon
Tax Urged - December 3, 2008

Planet Has Cooled Since Bush Took Office & Global Warming Theory has failed
consistently and dramatically  November 20, 2008

# #

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