On 11 Dec 2002 at 10:20, Kathy Wilson wrote:

> Easiest one for me was the wind question -- having read all about Mt.
> Washington in Bill Bryson's book "A Walk in the Woods" about hiking
> the Appalachian trail... terrif book, *very* funny at times, and also
> very informative. Highly recommend it.

I had to get that one on the Holmes method.. Knew it wasn't this one 
or the other one, so it had to be THAT one... and it was.  Had there 
been a fourth choice I might have been in trouble.

> 
> It's getting down and dirty down there at the moment that's for
> sure... seems Hugo's days are numbered

Local sources there tell me that Chavez still has a lot of support in 
the lower echelons of society and the military, the people who 
actually voted for him when he was elected (which he was, not that 
the US press sees fit to mention that often)  and that the reason for 
a lot of the "get rid of him NOW" rush is that several new laws kick 
in on 1 January which will REALLY annoy the monied classes... things 
like land reform, social services, progressive taxation, like that...

If he doesn't resign before the end of the year, I'm expecting at 
least one more serious armed coup attempt and possibly a series of 
assassination attempts... and if he IS forced out, there are a lot of 
South American analysts expecting a civil war.    

Especially if the Iraq thing starts putting a serious crimp in oil 
supply at the same time, I think we may see the old Iran-Contra crew 
funding yet another  "democratic reform" in Latin America.  Funny how 
democracy only works there when the right people win.... So it's 
gonna be interesting.


               Albest,

                        Clayton

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