From: mike 


Looking at the computer models, the cold Arctic air seems to be spilling
down into the Siberia area.

The bad part of that is that the Siberian weather usually takes a couple of
weeks to spin around to us....

btw, bicycle ride was enjoyable.   67 degrees and breezy.

 /m




On Sat, 06 Jan 2007 13:53:09 -0500, Gary Britt
 wrote:

>
>Yes this is definitely a warmer winter almost everywhere it would seem.  The
>question is whether that warmer winter is natural or man made causes.  The
>case for man made causes is extremely week, apparently even for CO2 levels.
>  From yesterday's Sun-Sentinel:
>
>Gary
>
>http://www.sun-sentinel.com/features/health/la-sci-climate5jan05,0,4198056.sto
ry?coll=sfla-news-science
>
>early [as in 300 million years ago] global warming caused unexpectedly
>severe and erratic temperature swings as rising levels of greenhouse gases
>helped transform Earth, a team led by researchers at UC Davis said Thursday.
>
>The global transition from ice age to greenhouse 300 million years ago was
>marked by repeated dips and rises in the amount of carbon dioxide in the
>atmosphere and wild swings in temperature, with drastic effects on forests
>and vegetation, the researchers reported in the journal Science.
>
>"It was a real yo-yo," said UC Davis geochemist Isabel
Montanez, who led
>researchers from five universities and the Smithsonian Museum of Natural
>History in a project funded by the National Science Foundation. "Should we
>expect similar but faster climate behavior in the future? One has to
>question whether that is where we are headed."
>
>The provocative insight into planetary climate change counters the
>traditional view that global warming could be gradual and its regional
>effects easily anticipated.
>
>Over several million years, carbon dioxide in the ancient atmosphere
>increased from about 280 parts per million to 2,000 ppm, the same increase
>that experts expect by the end of this century as remaining reserves of
>fossil fuels are burned.
>
>
>"It suggests," she said, "*that the normal behavior in
major climate
>transitions is instability, erratic temperature behavior and carbon dioxide
>changes*."*
>
>Gary
>
>
>mike wrote:
>> At the moment (11:42am) it is 67 degrees here.  I'm planning to go on a
>> bicycle ride this afternoon....
>>
>>  /m
>>
>> On Mon, 1 Jan 2007 17:22:46 -0500, "Geo."
 wrote:
>>
>>> Yes, so far a fairly mild winter here as well, and el Ni¤o is a medium
>>> strength event this year so I don't expect it will be a major
event either
>>> although I welcome any el Ni¤o effects.
>>>
>>> Geo.
>>>

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