TIP: Click on subject to list as thread! ANSI
echo: pol_inc
to: BOB KLAHN
from: WAYNE CHIRNSIDE
date: 2007-03-30 07:45:10
subject: Confidence Level

->   We keep debating, should we stay, should we set a deadline? How
->   long shall we stay? 

Until the oil run out.

-> Is it openended? How about how many men are
->   you willing to commit for how long? 

I perhaps committed any time now.

-> In the end, will we do any
->   good? How's that for a question?

Good for EXXon - Mobil, BP

->   I came up with a chart, from 1 to 5 years, at different troop
->   levels. Do you believe we can do the job, whatever it is, at
->   which troop level over how many years? And just how much do you
->   believe it?

All of them, until the oil runs out.

-> 
->  *******************************************************************
-> 
->    Iraq Troop level quiz.
-> 
->    How many men will it take to win the war? How many years at
->    that troop level?

More than we currently got.

->    The Pentagon said they needed nearly 400,000 men before the
->    invasion. Donald Rumsfeld and his people said it could be done
->    with less than 100,000. Those the limits chosen for the high
->    and low. Between those two, how many would you expect it will
->    take from this point on?

My guestimate falls outside that number on the high end.

->    What is your confidence level that a particular level of
->    troops will result in a satisfactory outcome in what number of
->    years? Enter for each troop level, for each number of years to
->    victory.

->                  1 = No Way         5 = Absolutely.

I not know how you define victory so no answer forthcoming.
 
->      Number of troops.
-> 
->     100,000 | 150,000 | 200,000 | 250,000 | 300,000 | 400,000
->   Years_____|_________|_________|_________|_________|________
->    1        |         |         |         |         |
->    _________|_________|_________|_________|_________|________
->    2        |         |         |         |         |
->    _________|_________|_________|_________|_________|________
->    3        |         |         |         |         |
->    _________|_________|_________|_________|_________|________
->    4        |         |         |         |         |
->    _________|_________|_________|_________|_________|________
->    5        |         |         |         |         |
->    _________|_________|_________|_________|_________|________
->  Your       |         |         |         |         |
->  Guess______|_________|_________|_________|_________|________
-> 
->    How many troops are you willing to send?
->    Where will you get them?
->    How long will you wait for succes?
-> 
->    Chose your limits from the chart you have filled out.


You be needing a bigger chart, and not so incidentally a bigger
military force as well.


As this is just a lighthearted quiz I figure to have a go at it.
Genrally anymore I not much care for geopolical or foreign affairs
stuff
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