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echo: pol_inc
to: Jeff Binkley
from: Earl Croasmun
date: 2010-11-06 11:46:16
subject: RE: Forbes

~> Indeed.  He does pull stats and he does analyze them but his conclusions 
~> are often very incorrect because he cherry picks a data set and doesn't 
~> tie it back to the real world, the bigger picture or underlying events 
~> which caused the stats.  I could see a fleet of auto carrier trucks 
~> rolling down the street full of green Ford cars.  I could then draw a 
~> conclusion that most of the new cars being made are green Fords.  That 
~> is how he does statistical analysis (and I am being generous).

When someone starts out with no facts, decides what they wish were true,
looks for facts or pseudo-facts that support that conclusion, and ignores
facts that deny that conclusion, they wind up feeling very comfortable that
they are right.  But it doesn't make them right.  It just makes them cut
off from the world.
 
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