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| subject: | Re: where the hell is my global warming? |
From: "Mark" http://fallbackbelmont.blogspot.com/2007/02/global-warming.html Right after the 2006 Leyte mudslide killed nearly a thousand people it was obvious from the available aerial pictures that many of slopes which had collapsed had been stripped of their natural forest cover and converted to subsistence agriculture. None of this had to do with ethanol, of course. But it did have to do with the lack of job opportunities in the Philippines. The employer of last resort in a Third World country is always the land. When an unemployed man runs out of options, he borrows a shovel and a box of matches and goes out to engage in swidden farming, also known as kaingin. When the Kyoto protocols were first announced, with the intention of controlling the emissions of greenhouse gases, its implications may not have been fully understood by the Environmentalists who designed it. The Kyoto protocol, whatever its positive effects, would also have a negative effect in employment to the extent it dampened economic growth. Less growth. Fewer jobs. More kaingin. More matches and shovels in what is left of the forest. Leyte. While not an argument against Kyoto per se, it is a reminder that any policy is likely to have both positive and negative effects. The trick, as any policy analyst knows, is to be certain any new policy produces net benefits. That is, that the good points clearly outweigh the bad. This is especially true in environmental policy issues in which enormously complex systems -- the weather, the biosphere and humankind -- all interact in ways that nobody; and certainly not the Environmentalists, understand. In the case of ethanol, the fuel industry will inevitably compete with the food industry to use corn. The resulting price increases may not be permanent where farmers can increase their own corn production. They will plant more corn -- but there will be more cultivation. And in places where the market doesn't work or government distortions make it difficult for farmers to ramp up their production the prices may simply rise. That's not what anyone wanted. But that's the Law of Unintended Consequences. ==== Not in the mood for much commentary, but I'll note simply that no one understands much of anything, and until they proffer proof positive that their doomsday BS has merit (which they'll *never* be able to do as it is the nature of nature that we're facing), I'll fight their penchant for spending billions, nay, trillions, on their own little pet projects to benefit their friends in high places and destroy us little people's place in the world here in the US while also decimating the poorest of the poor globally. The global warmists need to take a deep breath and find (or create is more like it) another little project to make themselves feel useful and to wax poetic about, and spend their own money on, whatever it is, instead of expecting all of us to bow down to their holier than thou platitudes and hand over our cash.* Origin: Barktopia BBS Site http://HarborWebs.com:8081 (1:379/45) SEEN-BY: 633/267 270 @PATH: 379/45 1 633/267 |
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