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echo: matzdobre
to: All
from: Jeff Binkley
date: 2010-02-17 16:48:00
subject: Spending

http://cnsnews.com/commentary/article/61454

Obama Defeats FDR (in Spending Other People’s Money) 
 Wednesday, February 17, 2010
By Terence P. Jeffrey 
Listen to Commentary Podcasts 


After he signed a law last week authorizing the U.S. Treasury to borrow 
an additional $1.9 trillion, President Barack Obama delivered a 
characteristically sanctimonious speech. It was about his deep 
commitment to frugality.
 
“After a decade of profligacy, the American people are tired of 
politicians who talk the talk but don’t walk the walk when it comes to 
fiscal responsibility,” he said. “It’s easy to get up in front of the 
cameras and rant against exploding deficits. What’s hard is actually 
getting deficits under control. But that’s what we must do. Like 
families across the country, we have to take responsibility for every 
dollar we spend.”
 
To put Obama’s Olympian hypocrisy in perspective, one need only examine 
the federal budget tables posted on the White House website by Obama’s 
own Office of Management and Budget.
 
They reveal these startling facts: When calculated by the average annual 
percentage of the Gross Domestic Product that he will spend during his 
presidency, Obama is on track to become the biggest-spending president 
since 1930, the earliest year reported on the OMB’s historical chart of 
spending as a percentage of GDP. When calculated by the average annual 
percentage of GDP he will borrow during his presidency, Obama is on 
track to become the greatest debter president since Franklin Roosevelt.
 
Obama will outspend and out-borrow the admittedly profligate George W. 
Bush, a man Obama and his lieutenants routinely malign for fiscal 
recklessness and who, when in office, was often hailed even by his 
allies as a Big Government Republican. Obama will even outspend—but not 
quite out-borrow—his fellow welfare-state liberal FDR, who had to 
contend with both the Depression and World War II.
 
In determining this was the case, I credited the presidents prior to 
Obama with the federal spending and borrowing that occurred during the 
fiscal years that started when they were in office. I credited Obama 
with the spending and borrowing that his own OMB estimates will occur 
during the fiscal years from 2010 to 2013, which are the four fiscal 
years starting during Obama’s four-year term. (Before fiscal 1977, 
fiscal years ran from July 1 to June 30. Since then, they have run from 
Oct. 1 to Sept. 30.)
 
FDR was inaugurated in March 1933 and died in April 1945. He is thus 
responsible for the 12 fiscal years from 1934 to 1945. During those 
years of depression and world war, according to OMB, federal spending 
averaged 19.35 percent of GDP. During Obama’s four fiscal years, OMB 
estimates spending will average 24.13 percent of GDP. That is about 25 
percent more than under FDR.
 
In the first eight fiscal years of FDR’s presidency, before Japan 
attacked Pearl Harbor, federal spending as a percentage of GDP never 
exceeded 12 (despite the Depression). During those years, it averaged 
only 9.85 percent. Under Obama, annual spending as a percentage of GDP 
will average almost two-and-a-half times that much.
 
In fiscal 1942, when the U.S. started dramatically ramping up 
expenditures to fight World War II, federal spending equaled 24.3 
percent of GDP. In 2010, the first full fiscal year of the Obama era, 
spending will reach 25.4 percent of GDP.
 
Under current estimates, Obama will not beat FDR’s overall record for 
borrowing, although he will nearly double FDR’s pre-World War II rate of 
borrowing. From 1934-41, FDR ran annual deficits that averaged 3.56 
percent of GDP. Obama, according to OMB, will run average annual 
deficits of 7.05 percent GDP. When you include the war years of 1942-45, 
FDR ran average annual deficits of 9.76 percent of GDP. Even without a 
world war, Obama’s overall prospective borrowing is at least competitive 
with FDR’s.
 
And Obama and FDR share one historic debt-accumulating distinction. By 
OMB’s calculation, they are the only two presidents since 1930 to run up 
annual deficits that reached double figures as a percentage of GDP. 
Obama will run up a deficit this year of 10.6 percent of GDP. The last 
time the deficit hit double digits as a percentage of GDP was 1945 -- 
when Germany and Japan surrendered.
 
The U.S. won the Cold War without ever running a double-digit deficit. 
President Reagan’s highest deficit was 6 percent of GDP in 1983 -- and 
he bankrupted the Soviet Union not the United States.
 
So how does Obama compare with the much-maligned George W. Bush? In 
Bush’s eight fiscal years, annual federal spending averaged 20.43 
percent of GDP, significantly less than Obama’s estimated 24.13 percent 
of GDP.
 
Bush ran annual deficits that averaged 3.4 percent of GDP—and that 
includes fiscal 2009, when the deficit soared to 9.9 percent of GDP and 
Obama signed a $787 billion stimulus bill (some of which was spent in 
fiscal 2009) after Bush left office. Obama, according to OMB, will run 
deficits that average 7.05 percent of GDP—or more than twice the average 
deficits under Bush.
 
The bottom line on Obama: He puts our money where his mouth is.

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