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| subject: | Pres. Obama & Nuclear Non-Prolifer. 02 |
The article was lost for years -- some of Mr. Obama's campaign advisers said they had heard of its existence and went looking for it, presumably to see if it contained anything that might prove embarrassing. It came to light on the Internet just before the inauguration, and some conservative bloggers called it naive, anti-American and blind to the Soviet threat. Precisely how the article found its way onto the Internet is unclear. But late last year, a Columbia alumni publication said it had learned of it from an alumnus, Stephen M. Brockmann, who also had an article in the same Sundial issue. Dr. Brockmann, now a professor of German at Carnegie Mellon University, said he found the issue "while rummaging through some old stuff." When he saw the Obama article, he recalled, "I could hardly believe my eyes." The Senator After the Sundial article, Mr. Obama went silent on nuclear issues for the next two decades. In Chicago, where he worked as a community organizer, topics like remaking the schools, the welfare system and health care seemed a lot more urgent. The cold war ended. So did the protests. But in 2003 Mr. Obama began his unlikely campaign for the United States Senate and answered a detailed questionnaire from the Council for a Livable World, an advocacy organization in Washington that evaluates candidates on arms control issues. "He opposes building a new generation of nuclear weapons," the organization said in a fund-raising letter supporting Mr. Obama's candidacy. At the time, the Bush administration had proposed developing nuclear arms that could shatter deeply buried enemy bunkers. "The United States has far more nuclear weapons than it needs," the organization quoted Mr. Obama as saying, "and any attempt by the U.S. government to develop or produce new nuclear weapons only undermines U.S. nonproliferation efforts around the world." The organization said Mr. Obama also supported an American-financed effort to secure Russian nuclear arms, as well as ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty, still in limbo two decades after Mr. Obama wrote about it. When he became a senator in January 2005, Mr. Obama zeroed in on arms control, an issue with little traction in the Republican-controlled Senate. Mark Lippert, now chief of staff of the National Security Council, recalled the senator's seeking his nuclear views when he applied for a Senate staff job. Mr. Obama found a mentor in Senator Richard G. Lugar, Republican of Indiana, then chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a longtime star of nuclear nonproliferation efforts. Later that year, Mr. Obama asked to accompany his Republican colleague on a trip to monitor Russian efforts to scrap nuclear arms and secure atomic materials from theft or diversion. "When we got there, he was clearly all business -- a very careful listener and note taker and a serious student," Mr. Lugar recalled. During the presidential campaign, Mr. Obama seized a new opportunity, and political cover, by aligning himself with four of the biggest names in national security. They had decided to campaign for the elimination of the nuclear arsenals they had built up and managed as cold warriors. There were two Republicans, Henry A. Kissinger and George P. Shultz, secretary of state under Mr. Reagan, and two Democrats, William J. Perry, secretary of defense under President Bill Clinton, and former Senator Sam Nunn, who has made fighting proliferation his life's work. In a 2007 opinion article in The Wall Street Journal, the four men argued that the time was right to seek "A World Free of Nuclear Weapons," as the headline put it. President George W. Bush never invited them to the White House to make their case. But Mr. Obama embraced the four wholeheartedly, echoing their message in campaign speeches in places like Chicago and Denver and in Berlin, where he spoke in July 2008 as the presumptive Democratic nominee. "This is the moment," he told cheering Berliners, to seek "the peace of a world without nuclear weapons." The President The nuclear world Mr. Obama studied and wrote about at Columbia bears little resemblance to the one he faces today. Russia in many ways is the least of his challenges. Both Washington and Moscow want to renew the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, which expires late this year, and both say they want to shrink their arsenals. More complex are problems posed by the rise of new nuclear states, chiefly North Korea, which has now conducted two nuclear tests, and Iran, which experts say will be able to build a warhead soon, if it cannot already. Pakistan has the fastest-growing arsenal, India's is improving, and Israel's nuclear capacity has never been publicly discussed, much less dealt with, by the United States. The threat, Mr. Obama added in the interview, has "only been heightened with the emergence of extremist organizations such as Al Qaeda." Mr. Obama and his aides say they want to address all these issues -- though they have only recently begun to discuss strategy. "We tried the unilateral way, in the Bush years, and it didn't work," a senior administration official said recently. "What we are trying is a fundamental change, a different view that says our security can be enhanced by arms control. There was a view for the past few years that treaties only constrained the good actors and not the bad actors." Beyond the first step -- deep cuts in American and Russian arsenals -- is an agenda that has already provoked stirrings of discontent at home and abroad. In January, in the journal Foreign Affairs, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, the lone holdover from the Bush cabinet, called for financing a new generation of longer-lasting and more dependable nuclear arms. He was immediately overruled. Mr. Obama's first budget declared that "development work on the Reliable Replacement Warhead will cease." Another focus of activity early this year was the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty. Its ratification faces a tough Senate fight. But his aides are already building a case that advanced technologies obviate the need to detonate weapons as tests of the American arsenal and can verify that other countries also refrain. Critics argue that the North Koreas of the world will simply defy the ban -- and that the international community will fail to punish offenders. "If the implications were not so serious, the discrepancy between Mr. Obama's plans and real-world conditions would be hilarious," said Frank J. Gaffney Jr., a Reagan-era Pentagon official who directs the Center for Security Policy, a private group in Washington. "There is only one country on earth that Team Obama can absolutely, positively denuclearize: Ours." Even more ambitious, Mr. Obama wants a Fissile Material Cutoff Treaty, which would bar all nations that sign it from making fuel for their atom bombs. But when asked how Mr. Obama would sell the idea to America's allies -- primarily Pakistan, India and Israel -- administration officials grow silent. All this is supposed to culminate, next year, in an American effort to rewrite crucial provisions of the 1968 Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Mr. Obama wants to strengthen inspection provisions and close the loophole that makes it easy for countries to drop out, as North Korea did in 2003. Each of those steps would require building a global consensus. It would also mean persuading countries to give up the coveted freedom to make fuel for reactors -- and instead, probably, buy it from an international fuel bank. Most of all, Mr. Obama and like-minded leaders will have to establish a new global order that will truly restrain rogue states and terrorist groups from moving ahead with nuclear projects. "I don't think I was that unique at that time," the president said of his Columbia days, "and I don't think I'm that unique today in thinking that if we could put the genie back in the bottle, in some sense, that there would be less danger -- not just to the United States but to people around the world." Jeff Snyder, SysOp - Armageddon BBS Visit us at endtimeprophecy.org port 23 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Your Download Center 4 Mac BBS Software & Christian Files. 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