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| subject: | More On Ray Kurzweil 01 |
This Ray Kurzweil fellow has some dangerous, and very ungodly, ideas. He is basically saying that within another forty years or so, he believes that we humans will become our own gods, overcoming death, disease, etc., through technology such as nanobots, which will travel throughout our bodies, making repairs as needed. He is not the only one who has made these kinds of statements. Following is an article that I just read online. It is basically the transcript for a four-part Shockwave Flash movie that I downloaded to my computer. If anyone wants a copy of the four parts, I have it zipped up in a 101 MB file. Just let me know. RAY KURZWEIL - That Singularity Guy By Rocco Castoro - Vice Magazine In the year 2050, if Ray Kurzweil is right, nanoscopic robots will be zooming throughout our capillaries, transforming us into nonbiological humans. We will be able to absorb and retain the entirety of the universe's knowledge, eat as much as we want without gaining weight, shape-shift into just about any physical form imaginable, live free from disease, and die at the time of our choosing. All of this will be thrust on us by something that Kurzweil calls the Singularity, a theorized point in time in the not-so-distant future when machines become vastly superior to humans in every way, aka the emergence of true artificial intelligence. Computers will be able to improve their own source codes and hardware in ways we puny humans could never conceive. This will result in a paradigm shift that sees mankind coalescing with its own creations: man and machine, merging into one. These grand-scale premonitions are largely based on Kurzweil's law of accelerating returns, which states that the development of technology has been increasing exponentially since the beginning of time. That concept isn't really compelling to anyone but science nerds until you focus on the "knee" of this exponential curve--the point where the perpetual doubling of technological growth skyrockets and negates the linear models of progress that people like economists have relied on for so long. Kurzweil says we're just about to start rounding this bend and that the rate of progress will be so great it will "appear to rupture the fabric of human history." In other words, we will trump nature and take control of our own evolution. In your face, God. Kurzweil's magnum opus, The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, outlines the implications of this transition in a way that is simultaneously believable, terrifying, meticulous, and mind-bendingly absurd. It was published in 2005. That may seem like a short time ago, but an incoming technological explosion of nuclear proportions isn't so far-fetched when you consider everything that's changed just between then and now. Twitter, iPhones, the comment on the Facebook wall as the new pickup line? The things we were using four years ago already seem like crap from The Flintstones in comparison. Tech is moving faster all the time, and even if a third of Kurzweil's predictions about the future are realized, we will soon be living in a world that makes Back to the Future II look like Planet of the Apes. People like to tag Kurzweil as the "rightful heir to Thomas Edison," and that's not a stretch considering he's responsible for some of the most useful inventions of the past century: An optical-character-recognition machine for the blind that's capable of reading most types of printed text aloud, the CCD flatbed scanner, speech-recognition software, the first synthesizer that created sounds virtually indistinguishable from those produced by their acoustic counterparts, and a whole bunch of other nifty things we can barely comprehend came from Ray's brain. You might imagine that this guy works in some futuristic, zero-gravity hidden laboratory with a staff of cyborgs. But his office, just outside Boston in Wellesley, Massachusetts, is modest. It looks like it hasn't seen a new piece of furniture since the late 80s. When Kurzweil, dressed in a slightly crumpled navy suit jacket and slacks, emerged from the columns of books surrounding his desk, he seemed almost meek and startled even though he had postponed our interview by over half an hour. One immediately notices his lustrous and almost plastic-looking skin--a byproduct of supplementing his diet with phosphatidylcholine, a major component of cell membranes that depletes with age. It's just one of the 100-plus vitamins, minerals, and other supplements he ingests on a daily basis to combat the ravages of time. The goal is to live long enough to see his prophecy fulfilled. And it seems to be working--the guy is a machine. Toward the end of our conversation, he got up from his seat to take a break. He returned ten minutes later, did this shifty rolling maneuver with his eyes that looked as if he were computing some complex theorem, and then promptly picked up exactly where he left off (like, literally the same word). It wouldn't be surprising if Kurzweil announced that he has already received artificial neural enhancements and other biological upgrades. In fact, it would make most of us feel better about the discrepancy between his brainpower and ours. Regardless, Kurzweil knows more than a few things that the majority of us don't, and we'd be really foolish not to listen as closely as possible. Beginning of Interview: Vice Magazine: The Singularity sounds neat and all, but right now the global economy is a ruptured septic tank and people could care less about what's 30 years down the road. In 2005 you wrote that deflation was just a niggling concern and we'd be in good shape for years to come. How do you reconcile this? Ray Kurzweil: The exponential growth of information technologies is going to continue completely unaffected by this current recession, or whatever you want to call it, just as it has through every other recession, including the Great Depression. There's a new iPhone that's twice as powerful as last year's for half the money, and that's not just because Apple is so brilliant. It's true of all electronics, and in fact it's not just electronics. It's true of anything where we have information, whether it's brain scanning or biological technologies. Ultimately, these things start out unaffordable and don't work very well, and eventually they're almost free and work extremely well. For instance, half the world now has cell phones though they used to be a real luxury item. So that's actually the deflationary force that's keeping inflation in check. That's why we don't have rampant inflation. Vice Magazine: Sure, but most of the folks I know who've been laid off in the past six months won't be able to afford the next iPhone. They're just thinking about the necessities. Ray Kurzweil: People say, "Well, information technology, that's just part of what I need. I also need bread and I need housing." But those things will eventually become information technologies as well as we transform from a pre-information era to a post-information era. A very important industry that's doing that now is health and medicine. We've mapped the genome, we can design interventions on computers and test them out in biological simulators, we can turn genes off, we can add new genes in a mature individual, not just a baby. Ultimately, we will have full-scale nanotechnology, which is just reorganizing matter and energy at the molecular level using information processes. That's when I will be able to email you a toaster or toast or a blouse or a solar panel or a module to build housing or transportation. What we now consider physical products will become information files--email attachments. That's already true today with some categories. Ten years ago, if I wanted to send you a movie, I would have sent you a FedEx package. I can now send you an email attachment. The same goes for a music file or a book. What used to be physical products can now be sent as files of information. Vice Magazine: That kind of correspondence will only be possible if we develop advanced artificial intelligence and nanotechnology. How long will it take for computers to surpass our own intellect? Ray Kurzweil: Today's machines don't have the full range and supple flexibility of human intelligence, but the key to achieving that is going to be understanding how the human brain works, and we're making exponential progress on that as well. We'll have all the models and simulations of brain regions by 2029. They will give us the templates of the software, the algorithms of human intelligence. It will allow machines to have access to their own source codes and redesign themselves to be smarter. [Continued in part two] Jeff Snyder, SysOp - Armageddon BBS Visit us at endtimeprophecy.org port 23 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Your Download Center 4 Mac BBS Software & Christian Files. We Use Hermes II --- Hermes Web Tosser 1.1* Origin: Armageddon BBS -- Guam, Mariana Islands (1:345/3777.0) SEEN-BY: 10/1 3 11/331 34/999 53/558 120/228 123/500 128/2 187 140/1 222/2 SEEN-BY: 226/0 236/150 249/303 250/306 261/20 38 100 1381 1404 1406 1418 SEEN-BY: 266/1413 280/1027 320/119 396/45 633/260 267 285 712/848 800/432 SEEN-BY: 801/161 189 2222/700 2320/100 105 200 5030/1256 @PATH: 345/3777 10/1 261/38 633/260 267 |
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