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echo: fidonews
to: DALE SHIPP
from: ALEXANDER KORYAGIN
date: 2020-04-01 13:32:00
subject: Days to Double

Hi, Dale Shipp!
I read your message from 01.04.2020 01:41

  AK>> And some inaccurate people can say that the virus spreads
  AK>> itself across  the US in lighting speed. In reality this
  AK>> virus a casual cold disease,  no more mortal than others.
  AK>> The "normal" number of deaths from pneumonia  in the US (in
  AK>> 2017) 50000. COVID is far from that numbers.
  DS> The current models state that before Covid-19 runs its course
  DS> we can expect between 100,000 and 240,000 deaths in the USA --
  DS> and that low a number only with nation wide restrictive
  DS> measures such as social distancing and stay-in-place.  Given
  DS> that such measures are not being applied or even suggested in
  DS> much of the country, the deaths may well be even higher.

Also it is important not to put in one pile all the deaths. If a person 
with COVID19 die people should be accurate about the death reason. 
People can die of variety of reasons. Look for death statistics in the 
USA for 2017:

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htm
-----Beginning of the citation-----
Leading Causes of Death
Data are for the U.S.

Number of deaths for leading causes of death
Heart disease: 647,457
Cancer: 599,108
Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
Alzheimer's disease: 121,404
Diabetes: 83,564
Influenza and pneumonia: 55,672
Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis: 50,633
Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173
----- The end of the citation -----

The sum is more than 2 million in the year of 2017!
People should be very accurate when they say about deaths "people with 
coronovirus" and about deaths "people of coronivirus". And the madhouse 
will look smaller.

Bye, Dale!
Alexander Koryagin
fido7.fidonews 2020
--- FIDOGATE 5.1.7ds
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