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from: PAUL NIXON
date: 1996-08-18 06:52:00
subject: Lott and Mustard handgun study available06:52:5908/18/96

 * Crossposted from: FREEDOM'S_VOICE
Note: I'll be uploading this to the filebase...assuming I remember .
F'Req - or download-able from the origin line as "LOTT.ZIP"
From: Emily Sandblade 
Subject: Lott and Mustard handgun study available
The study of concealed handgun laws by John R. Lott, Olin Fellow in Law
and Economics at the University of Chicago Law School, and David B.
Mustard of the Department of Economics, released on July 26, 1996, is now
available on the University of Chicago Law School web server.
Crime, Deterrence, and Right-to-Carry Concealed Handguns
http://law.lib.uchicago.edu/faculty/lott/guns.html
Excerpt from the abstract:  "Using cross-sectional time-series data for
U.S. counties from 1977 to 1992, we find that allowing citizens to carry
concealed weapons deters violent crimes and it appears to produce no
increase in accidental deaths.  If those states which did not have
right-to-carry concealed gun provisions had adopted them in 1992,
approximately 1,570 murders; 4,177 rapes; and over 60,000 aggravate
assaults would have been avoided yearly.  ... Concealed handguns also have
their greatest deterrent effect in the highest crime counties.  Higher
arrest and conviction rates consistently and dramatically reduce the crime
rate.  ... [T]he results imply that increasing the arrest rate,
independent of the probability of eventual conviction, imposes a
significant penalty on criminals.  The estimated annual gain from allowing
concealed handguns is at least $6.214 billion."
The document and statistical tables are available in PDF (Adobe Acrobat),
PostScript, HTML, RTF and Word 5.1 for Macintosh formats.
The article will appear in the January 1997 issue of the Journal of Legal
Studies.  http://press-gopher.uchicago.edu:70/0/Journals/JLE/jleof.txt
--Emily Sandblade
emilys@megamed.com
==========
The aim of art, the aim of a life can only be to increase the sum of freedom
and responsibility to be found in everyone and in the world. It cannot,
under any circumstances, be to reduce or suppress that freedom, even
temporarily. --Albert Camus
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