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echo: fidonews
to: ROBERT BASHE
from: MICHIEL VAN DER VLIST
date: 2018-06-27 16:40:00
subject: It`s June 25th today

Hello Robert,

On Wednesday June 27 2018 08:22, you wrote to me:

 RB>>> I'm only glad I'm not in the middle of this.

 MV>> But you are...

 RB> Taken at face value, yes. But together with the Netherlands, Germany
 RB> still has the strongest economy in the EU and thus I'm not too worried
 RB> about the outcome.

I am not all that worried either. It will hurt us, but by far not as much as it
will hurt the people of the UK. The important thing is that the EU keeps its
back straight and does not allow the seperatists to sowe disention in the EU.

What worries me a bit is Ireland. Both Ireland and the UK want the border
between the Republic of Ireland and Ulster to stay invisible. I see only three
scenarios where this is possible:

1) The republic of Ireland leaves the EU and joins the UK.
2) The Brexit is cancelled.
3) Ulster leaves the UK and joins the EU.

None of these seem very likely. But a scenario where Ireland remains in the EU
and Ulster remains in the (brexitted) UK /and/ an open border between the two
is impossible as I see it.

It is not unthinkable that "the troubles" will return... :(


Cheers, Michiel

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