TIP: Click on subject to list as thread! ANSI
echo: guns
to: ALL
from: csmkersh@flash.net (Sam A. Kersh)
date: 1999-01-07 00:00:00
subject: Re: America`s FIRST 12 HOURS of 1999

mcculloch@mail.utexas.edu (Jim McCulloch) wrote:

>.............all of Jim's rantings deleted.................

From Cook, Ludwig & Hemenway:
INSIGHTS
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management
Vol 16, No. 3
pages 463-469
1997

	"...the DGU estimate was calculated by researchers affiliated with 
	a major research university (Professors Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz
	 of Florida State University), using widely accepted methods and
	 published in a topflight peer-reviewed criminology journal
	 (Northwestern University Law School's 'Journal of Criminal Law and
	 Criminology')....

	"Their survey appears to have been conducted according to current
	 standards, and the results have been reproduced in several
	 subsequent surveys.  In 1994, for example, the National Institute
	 of Justice sponsored telephone survey of 2600 American adults
	 examining gun ownership and uses, including defensive gun uses....
	 Two of us (Cook and Ludwig) have analyzed these data..."

	"When we follow the example of Kleck and Gertz and exclude all
	 respondents whose most recent DGU was part of military or
	 law-enforcement work, who did not report a specific crime or use
	 of the gun as part of the incident, or who did not actually see
	 the perpetrator, we estimate 1.5 million defensive gun users. 
	 (Because many of the relevant respondents said they experienced
	 more than one, we estimate a total of 4.7 million defensive gun
	 uses per annum.)... Kleck's and Gertz's DGU estimates do not
	 appear to be artifacts of any particular computational or
	 weighting decisions made in their analysis.  It there is any
	 problem here, it is intrinsic to the method.."

Whine away, Jim, but other anti-gunner's research doesn't support your
position.


Sam A. Kersh
NRA Life Member
LEAA Life
TSRA L-111738
JPFO
Training is Sergeant's Business
http://www.flash.net/~csmkersh/
===============================================================
talk.politics.guns' resident hypocrite admits to using a gun 
by proxy

     "So for me and my family, all we need for protection
against crime is some basic knowledge of where not to
travel, and how to travel there if we have to.  For
instance, I've had to go into the Cabrini and Taylor Homes
in Chicago a number of times, but because they are
high-crime areas, I go in daylight, to meet someone I know,
with a bodyguard."

Robert L. Ray aka kira@interaccess.com

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