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from: ED GRINNELL
date: 1997-03-29 11:29:00
subject: Hmmm

I've been advocating a new system for rating relievers and this year's Stats
has a system that is *similar* to what I've been talking about. The system
uses *runs prevented* to rate the relievers and while it's a start, it still
falls a little short. I think that it should be augmented by holds, saves and 
blown saves - much like what I had advocated. For those who are interested, 
here is the chart that the author, Steve Schulman, used (I made a correction 
to None on and 2 outs. The chart read 1.0 so I changed it to .1. When you see 
the chart, you'll understand why):
                 Number Of Outs
Runners         0      1      2
None          .45    .25    .10
1st           .78    .48    .21
2nd          1.07    .70    .35
3rd          1.28    .90    .38
1st&2nd      1.38    .89    .46
1st&3rd      1.64   1.09    .49
2nd&3rd      1.95   1.37    .66
Full         2.25   1.55    .80
You'll have to get Stats Scoreboard for a full explanation.:-)
--- TrekEd 1.00
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* Origin: Support Pete Rose and Nolan Ryan for the HOF (1:170/1701)

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