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echo: matzdobre
to: All
from: Jeff Binkley
date: 2010-02-14 14:59:00
subject: Climate change

The mistakes keep rolling in.,..

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http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE61C1V420100213

U.N. climate panel admits Dutch sea level flaw

OSLO (Reuters) - The U.N. panel of climate experts overstated how much of the
Netherlands is below sea level, according to a preliminary report on Saturday,
admitting yet another flaw after a row last month over Himalayan glacier melt.

A background note by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said
a 2007 report wrongly stated that 55 percent of the country was below sea level
since the figure included areas above sea level, prone to flooding along
rivers.

The United Nations has said errors in the 2007 report of about 3,000 pages do
not affect the core conclusions that human activities, led by burning fossil
fuels, are warming the globe.

"The sea level statistic was used for background information only, and the
updated information remains consistent with the overall conclusions," the IPCC
note dated February 12 said.

Skeptics say errors have exposed sloppiness and over-reliance on "grey
literature" outside leading scientific journals. The panel's reports are a main
guide for governments seeking to work out costly policies to combat global
warming.

The 2007 report included the sentence: "The Netherlands is an example of a
country highly susceptible to both sea level rise and river flooding because 55
percent of its territory is below sea level."

"A preliminary analysis suggests that the sentence discussed should end with:
'because 55 percent of the Netherlands is at risk of flooding'," the IPCC note
said.

The Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, the original source of the
incorrect data, said on February 5 that just 26 percent of the country is below
sea level and 29 percent susceptible to river flooding.

The IPCC said the error was widespread -- it quoted a report from the Dutch
Ministry of Transport saying "about 60 percent" of the country is below sea
level, and a European Commission study saying "about half."

The panel expressed regret last month after admitting that the 2007 report
exaggerated the pace of melt of the Himalayan glaciers, which feed rivers from
China to India in dry seasons, in a sentence that said they could all vanish by
2035.

The 2035 figure did not come from a scientific journal.

--- PCBoard (R) v15.3/M 10
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