Ed,
In a letter, you wrote:
EG> DL> Ed likes to use stolen base percentage and I am found of caught
EG> DL> stealing.  In neither category is Bret Butler terribly brilliant.
EG>Butler's been *barely* above what has been recognized as the *break even*
EG>point of stolen base percentage, .667. Whitey Herzog built his teams in KC 
and
EG>St. Louis around speed but more importantly, with the exception of his 
first
EG>two years in St. Louis, his teams were always above the league average in
EG>stolen base percentage. Not so coincidentally, Lonnie Smith has his best 
years
EG>with Herzog. I think he would have been able to do something about Butler 
and
EG>Polonia.
You have great faith in Whitey Herzog as a manager. Am would wonder if
it would take a  manager of deity to turn these two into smart base
runners.   I don't know,
How ever, I'll bet that any office chat about picking spots would be
negated by an agent's phone call to run more to inflate their contract
price.
The problem with Polonia is that his skill set was so marginal that he
almost had to steal an excessive number of bases just to do anything
positive.
Anyhow, putting Butler and Polonia under Herzog would make a very
interesting computer simulation, once somebody write the code.
Happy Modeming -- David
Happy Modeming -- David
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