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echo: locuser
to: Bob Lawrence
from: Keith Richardson
date: 1996-06-08 17:22:34
subject: Cheap RAM

KR> there seems to be divided opinion in the industry as to whether
 KR> prices will remain low or go back up to some degree. the
 KR> feeling is though, that it aint going to get too much cheaper
 KR> in the short term. i'm just glad that i didn't take 16megs when
 KR> it seemed like a bargain at $400, i got 32 for almost the same
 KR> price. 

 BL>   Me too! With the Delphi-2 offer I was tempted to go the whole hog
 BL> and upgrade to Win95 with 24Mb, but as soon as I saw 16Mb at $400 I
 BL> became immediately suspicious and decided to wait.

 BL>   8 ICs for $200 (less $20 for the board) is still $22.50 each, and
 BL> the chip (and package) is smaller than a TV remote (for instance) that
 BL> sells at $5. You can buy a one-chip micro for $10. I reckon the *real*
 BL> price of RAM is about $100 ($10 each plus $20 for the PCB), regardless
 BL> of size once they get the production techniques right.

 BL>   When something is dumped by a manufacturer with excess capacity (as
 BL> this 16Mb RAM seems to have been), the price usually dips rather than
 BL> levelling off. I'll wait a fortnight to see if it hits $150 or goes
 BL> up to $250, but in any case I'll be amazed if it ever sells much above
 BL> $200 again.

i have no idea, you may as well put your money on the horses, there more
chance of predicting the outcome there (:

                     keith
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