-=> On 05-30-16  09:46,  Janis Kracht <=-
 -=> spoke to Joe Delahaye about Bashing US Dictators <=-


 JK> Here's the gist of that article:

 JK> "According to Real Clear Politics, Bernie Sanders defeats 
 JK> Donald Trump in an average of polls by 10.8 points:

 JK> In contrast, Hillary Clinton according to Real Clear 
 JK> Politics now loses to Donald Trump by .2 points:

There are multiple problems with those poll statements.

First off, they are a snapshot in time right now.  Trump is the
presumptive GOP nominee and the Democratic nominee is still up in the
air.  Once the Dem nominee is decided the polls will definitely shift
(but in what direction?).

Second, I believe that they are polls of the national popular vote --
which is not the important thing in electing the next president.  What
is important is the Electorial College votes.  I have not yet seen any
careful analysis based on those Electorial votes.   There are some
states that will vote Dem and others that will vote GOP.  Only the
"Swing" states really matter in that analysis.

                               Dale Shipp
                  fido_261_1466 (at) verizon (dot) net
                              (1:261/1466)


... Shipwrecked on Hesperus in Columbia, Maryland. 02:59:32, 31 May 2016
___ Blue Wave/DOS v2.30

--- Maximus/NT 3.01