On 04-14-98 Frank Masingill wrote to All...
FM> How quickly it could all end as though in a flash of lightening. A
FM> sudden diminution in the availability of fuel, a breakdown ...
Perhaps you recall James Burke's 'Connections' series on TV; this
series began with him standing in the machine shed of some modern
agribusiness operation with the behemoth tractors outside, and in
the building, all the tools, chemicals, and equipment used to get
the crop in the ground.
He walks over to the main, and trips the breakers, and poses just
such a question by pointing out, that if the electricity stopped,
the fuel could not be pumped into the tractor; the crop would not
be put in the ground, much less cultivated or controlled for bugs
and weeds, nor harvested.
In the years since then, I've also become aware that agribusiness
has to confer with the bankers to buy the latest hybrid and then,
and *only* then, is the crop put in the ground.
But, as long as the electricity and the money and the seed arives
on time, it is all marvelously efficient, and produces all of the
bounty you note at the market. If it ever does not, then we will
no doubt, cite Murphy's law, which would also suggest, that if we
take steps to avoid catastrophy, they are the wrong steps.
From the standpoint of philosophy, is Murphy's law correct?
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