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| subject: | Recessions are Unnecessar |
PK> "Maybe you would like to explain why no country has ever managed PK> to avoid economic cycles ... " Gee Rod, you have a really creative PK> streak, haven't you? I'll bet I konw what you would have told PK> Orville and Wilbur ... or William Wilburforce. Engineering aint economics Paul. Its very very simple to see that the predictive capability of economists is dismal. You only have to look at the last budget. Treasure predicted business investment growth of 14%. Everyone pissed themselves laughing at that. It actually got 24% Maybe you would care to explain just how you do adjust the economic levers to ensure no cycles when you cant even predict stuff like that even for 1 year ahead. All YOU have done is say that cycles are undesirable. Sure, thats obvious. BUT just not liking them aint the same as knowing how to stop what you dont like happening Paul. PK> "Utterly confusing what's desirable [at least there's an admission!] Yes, and its not an admission, its perfectly obvious to anyone that it would be nice if we didnt have economic cycles. PK> with what's possible." Your conclusion, ergo, that even though PK> recession are patently man-made, it is not possible to stop them. Nope, my conclusion is that economic cycles are seen because they are in essence the nett result of a wide variety of factors at work. And just because man is involved, doesnt mean that you must be able to control that. No one has actually invented a way to do it. The last claim for that, communism and a centrally planned economy looked sort of plausible when you read the books written by the evangelists. Turned out they were having a brain fart and it doesnt work like they claimed it does. The same is true of this book you are claiming is the salvation of us all, it doesnt either. PK> Arrant nonsense! We'll see. PK> Now, listen up! It really is simple: Thats what they all claim Paul. Maybe you should contemplate why if it really is that simple, we have been doing it for hundreds of years now, and we have never actually been able to stumble across it. PK> Economic recession and depression is characterised by involuntary PK> unemployment. Yes. PK> If people do want to work and can't, what stops them? Can't they PK> just go and do something? No. Most of them can't. They need access PK> to resources such as a shop, a factory, an office or equipment. Well, thats a pretty simplistic analysis. PK> As early as the 1890s depression Banjo Patterson noted that PK> the "locking up" of Australia was no complete - due to those PK> who monopolised access to resources. Yes, thats often been the claim. The Marxists made similar claims, theirs have been clearly demonstrated now to have been tripe. PK> Earlier, Thomas Carlyle agreed. He said that economics would PK> forever remain "the dismal science" unless we taxed those who PK> held the resources of the world to the exclusion of others. And the extreme examples of socialist countrys who did just that shows that thats far far too simplistic. THEY still ended up with economic cycles even when they did that. QED, nice theory, pity about the reality. PK> He said we needed revenue from a levy upon land, instead of upon PK> the incomes and products of those who tried to work for a living. Corse there is the tiny matter that in a modern industrialised and even tertiary economy, thats all more than a tad irrelevant now. Singapore manages fine without that for example. Funny that, another simplistic economic theory going up in flames. PK> But you see, Rod, economists are always employed by people PK> or institutions who would have a lot to lose in a truly free PK> (not monopoly) enterprise system. Now we get into conspiracy theorys. Wondered how long that would take. PK> Adam Smith exemplifies this. He greatly admired the French PK> physiocrats, but backslid on their "impote unique" because PK> it would have affronted those who ran his uni back at home. Pity that theory doesnt explain say Keynes tho. PK> A couple of years ago Professor Mason Gaffney, a world resource PK> rent expert, was threatened with expulsion if he continued to PK> advocate that resource rents should progressively be used to PK> replace taxes on productivity. He was saved by his students. Gets sillier by the minute. A couple of examples of that happening doesnt prove that it ALWAYS happens Paul. Now explain Marx for example. Another silly theory going up in flames. PK> So much for academic freedom - and why certain things are PK> NOT ALLOWED to be tried! Nope, its just the usual silly conspiracy theory nonsense like the claim that GM buys up any brilliant low energy inventions and burns the plans. PK> I could supply quotes from 100 famous people - Thomas Paine, PK> Jefferson, Lincoln, Einstein, Tolstoy, who all said that we PK> needed revenue from resources instead of taxes upon production. Doesnt mean that its actually right tho. I could supply quotes from 100 famous people that the problem with the worlds economics is that its run by jews and that we only have to get rid of the jews and the problem of economic cycles would be fixed. Real life is a tad more complex than that. PK> But we wombats go along saying that if it worked, it would have been PK> tried. Nope, we say that things are often tried, like communism, and they dont work. Ditto nationalisation of industrys. Different matter entirely. PK> We remain dupes and victims of recessions and a taxation system PK> that takes from the poor and middle class and distributes liberally PK> to the super rich. Thats complete crap too. The most socialist countrys of western europe did quite the reverse, they still had economic cycles, QED, other silly theory going up in flames when tried. Most of the communist countrys actually just seized all the assets of the super rich and often killed them too. It didnt fix the problem and they mostly ended up with rooted economys. QED, another silly economic theory going up in flames when tried. PK> And you say, Rod, that the next depression will be relatively mild? PK> Want a bet? Yep. We have just been thru it Paul. It was heaps milder than the 29 crash. Didnt you notice ? --- PQWK202* Origin: afswlw rjfilepwq (3:711/934.2) SEEN-BY: 711/809 934 @PATH: 711/934 |
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