From: "Gary Wiltshire" 

On Mon, 17 Apr 2006 06:39:37 -0400, Phil Payne
 wrote:

> Giggle.  And buried he will be.
>
>
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/17/washington/17military.html?hp&ex=1145246400
&en=70c1c052dd6acb1b&ei=5094&partner=homepage
>
> "But the interview was also the first time since his retirement that
> General
> Myers, the former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has publicly
> weighed in on the administration's handling of the statement in 2003 by
> General Shinseki. General Myers did not identify any of the senior
> civilian
> leaders, but his comment came in response to a question on statements
> about
> General Shinseki made by Mr. Rumsfeld and his deputy, Paul D. Wolfowitz.
>
> The clash between General Shinseki and the civilian Pentagon leadership
> still rankles some of his former colleagues. And it goes to the heart of
> recent complaints that Mr. Rumsfeld and his top aides disregarded calls
> for
> more troops even before the invasion began.
>
> General Shinseki, who commanded the NATO peacekeeping force in Bosnia,
> testified before Congress in February 2003 that peacekeeping operations
> in
> Iraq could require several hundred thousand troops, in part because it
> was a
> country with "the kinds of ethnic tensions that could lead to other
> problems."
>
> Days later, Mr. Wolfowitz, then the second-ranking official at the
> Pentagon,
> called the estimate "wildly off the mark," a sentiment that
Mr. Rumsfeld
> repeated in comments that were widely interpreted in Washington and
> within
> the Pentagon as a rebuke of General Shinseki.
>
> Mr. Wolfowitz also told Congress then that the force could be
> sufficiently
> smaller than General Shinseki had estimated because the Iraqis would
> welcome
> the Americans, and that unlike Bosnia, Iraq had no history of ethnic
> strife.
> Troops on the ground in Iraq have said recently that current sectarian
> strife there reminded them of the situation in the former Yugoslavia."
>
> With friends like Myers, does the Administration really need enemies?
>

Sure, and I'd not be surprised if there were twenty other predictions from
various people which didn't come close to being true.  All you have to do
is cherry pick.  This reminds me of the scam where an "analyst"
makes up financial predictions of all sorts to random people with the
intent of only following up with those people later who received the
particular "predictions" that came true.  "Psychics"
have understood this game for millenia.

--
Gary Wiltshire

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