ACUS03 KWNS 161919
SWODY3
SPC AC 161918

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0118 PM CST Thu Jan 16 2025

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are expected across portions of the Southeast on
Saturday. Severe thunderstorm potential is forecast to remain low.

...Synopsis...
Broad cyclonic upper-level flow regime -- surrounding a cyclone
settling slowly southward over Hudson's Bay -- will continue to
encompass nearly all of North America Saturday.  As this occurs, a
surface low should continue to occlude over northern Quebec, while a
trailing cold front sweeps eastward across the eastern third of the
CONUS.  By the end of the period, the front should be shifting off
the New England coast, already off the Middle and Southern Atlantic
Coasts, and moving southward across the Florida Peninsula.

...Portions of the Southeast...
As the front crosses the Southeast, showers -- and a few
thunderstorms, will continue in the preceding, weakly unstable
airmass.  The forecast weak lapse rates/lack of appreciable
instability, and weakly stable near-surface layer, suggests little
if any risk for strong/severe storms.

..Goss.. 01/16/2025

$$

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