ACUS03 KWNS 291904
SWODY3
SPC AC 291903

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2024

Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected Tuesday.

...Synopsis...

An upper shortwave trough will pivot east/northeast across the
Midwest to the Northeast on Tuesday. A surface low will track in
tandem with the upper trough/low, with an attendant cold front
sweeping east across the MS/OH Valleys through evening. A dearth of
boundary-layer moisture will preclude much instability, except for
some modest dewpoints (mainly 40s to low 50s F) across the
Mid-Atlantic and Carolina coasts. As ascent increases with the
approach of the surface cold front and upper trough during the
evening, a couple of lightning flashes will be possible from the
upper OH Valley to the DelMarVa and coastal NC given very weak
MUCAPE (less than 150 J/kg). Overall, thunderstorm potential is
expected to remain very low, precluding a general thunderstorm
delineation.

..Leitman.. 12/29/2024

$$

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