ACUS11 KWNS 290907
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290906=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-291030-

Mesoscale Discussion 2314
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024

Areas affected...parts of GA to the FL Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 723...

Valid 290906Z - 291030Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 723 continues.

SUMMARY...Potential for brief tornadoes and sporadic damaging winds
from strong gusts should persist through sunrise as a QLCS
progresses across Georgia and the Florida Panhandle.

DISCUSSION...Overall severe potential has subdued slightly in the
early morning hours as the faster-moving/north-south oriented
portion of the QLCS spread into GA from AL. Despite the presence of
a 60-kt rear inflow jet per the MXX and EOX VWP data, measured
surface gusts have largely ranged from 40-55 mph. The forward motion
of this line at around 45 kts appears to be outpacing MLCAPE in
excess of 500 J/kg. Still, low to mid 60s surface dew points have
become common across central GA and will support scant to meager
buoyancy downstream. This should be sufficient for a sporadic wind
damage and brief tornado threat given the strong low-level
winds/SRH.

The trailing portion of the QLCS in the western FL Panhandle has
been steadily moving east at around 25 kts, lagging well behind the
west-central GA portion. Rich low-level moisture combined with
sufficient shear will support potential for tornadogenesis and
occasional strong gusts. These threats may tend to be focused near
the coast where inflection in the large-scale convective outflow is
maintained.

..Grams.. 12/29/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6069Ohh3AMfqYwgcxW7KBW6FkgKZlaRFjP5jbqaw_ofQLgDscd05Xv2OhLvPTFz3hQDMxJRkE=
OhO7J2J-Sg_8wvNKOE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON   30208662 30838623 31228559 32158479 32988467 33738480
            34028395 34028316 33898273 33558256 33168249 32638267
            32148325 31488411 29808538 30208662=20


=3D =3D =3D
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