ACUS11 KWNS 261913
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261912=20
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-262115-

Mesoscale Discussion 2284
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0112 PM CST Thu Dec 26 2024

Areas affected...northeast Texas into the ArkLaTex vicinity

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 714...

Valid 261912Z - 262115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 714
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for severe wind and hail continues across
northeast Texas and the ArkLaTex vicinity. Potential may increase by
21-00z/3-6 pm CST.

DISCUSSION...Strong thunderstorms will continue to track northeast
across the region through late afternoon. While strong vertical
shear is resulting in some organized line segments and more
semi-discrete cells, convection has struggled to maintain intensity
given the weak thermodynamic environment. Nevertheless, some
additional destabilization may occur over the next couple of hours
while the low-level jet increases with eastward extent. Isolated
large hail to 1.75 inch diameter and gusts to 65 mph still remains
possible with elevated convection into early evening.

..Leitman/Thompson.. 12/26/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7zJGBccMtnb7QWO5L9JuVk0VIJnDXCkJMFVqmfo7T3xG5DiIZ0mCHaQ7mfRs-h7KpEt3NqKa0=
z81ah4GlIqqgSmWFWw$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON   33399576 33449377 32979341 32349344 32289416 32279585
            32199633 32589637 33179614 33399576=20


=3D =3D =3D
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