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echo: weather
to: wx-storm@lists.illinois.e
from: COD Weather Processor
date: 2024-12-06 19:02:00
subject: DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Predic

ACUS03 KWNS 061902
SWODY3
SPC AC 061901

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0101 PM CST Fri Dec 06 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower
Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for
severe thunderstorms is very low.

...Synopsis...

An upper trough over the central/southern Plains will eject
east/northeast toward the OH/TN Valley on Sunday. Mid/upper
southwesterly flow will be increasing across the Lower MS Valley and
Southeast as the trough approaches. Southerly low-level flow will
transport 50s to low 60s F across the south-central states ahead of
an eastward-advancing cold front. Given the track of the upper
trough, large-scale ascent will become increasing displaced from
better quality low-level moisture located over the central Gulf
Coast states. Nevertheless, isolated elevated thunderstorms will be
possible within the warm advection regime as weak elevated
instability develops due to cooling aloft. Severe potential will
remain low given lack of surface-based convection and weak
instability.

..Leitman.. 12/06/2024

$$

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