ACUS03 KWNS 060820
SWODY3
SPC AC 060819

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0219 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower
Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for
severe thunderstorms is very low.

...Synopsis...
Upper low expected to be over the TX Panhandle early Sunday is
forecast to devolve into an open wave as it progresses northeastward
across OK and the Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley. Enhanced mid-level
southwesterly flow will accompany this system, spreading from the
Mid/Lower MS Valley and into the TN Valley and Southeast as the wave
moves northeastward. Strengthening low to mid-level flow is
anticipated ahead of this system as well.

Overall progression of this system will displace it north of the
more favorable low-level moisture, which will be confined to the
upper TX Coast early Sunday before advecting northeastward into more
of the Lower MS Valley/Mid-South throughout the day. Warm-air
advection across this moistening warm sector and modest buoyancy may
result in elevated thunderstorms embedded within the larger
precipitation shield. Deep-layer vertical shear will be strong but
the limited buoyancy should keep the overall severe potential low.

..Mosier.. 12/06/2024

$$

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