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echo: weather
to: wx-storm@lists.illinois.e
from: COD Weather Processor
date: 2024-12-04 19:23:00
subject: DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Predic

ACUS03 KWNS 041923
SWODY3
SPC AC 041922

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0122 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible across portions of
central Texas.

...Synopsis...

The upper low/trough over the Southwest and northwest Mexico will
minutely shift east on Friday. As this occurs, modestly enhanced
mid/upper southwesterly flow will overspread the southern Plains.
Boundary layer moisture will remain scant across TX due to prior
cold frontal intrusion into the Gulf of Mexico. However, a few
elevated thunderstorms will be possible across central TX.
Increasing midlevel moisture coupled with steep midlevel lapse rates
and cool temperatures aloft will support meager elevated
instability. Subtle large-scale ascent associated with the eastward
creeping upper trough may be sufficient to aid in isolated lightning
flashes. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

..Leitman.. 12/04/2024

$$

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