ACUS02 KWNS 021717
SWODY2
SPC AC 021715

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1115 AM CST Mon Dec 02 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the Texas Coast. No severe
thunderstorms are expected.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Upper troughing extending from the northern Mid-Atlantic states into
the north-central Gulf of Mexico early Tuesday is forecast to
progress eastward off the East Coast throughout the day. In its
wake, a strong shortwave trough is expected to drop through the
Canadian Prairies into the northern Plains/Upper Midwest late
Tuesday/early Wednesday.

Strong surface ridging associated with a continental polar airmass
ushered in by lead troughing is also forecast to shift eastward from
the Mid-South into central Appalachians throughout the day. A
reinforcing surge of cold air associated with the Canadian Prairies
shortwave trough will move into the northern/central Plains and
Upper Midwest late Tuesday night through early Wednesday morning.

This overall pattern will maintain largely stable conditions across
the central and eastern CONUS while also supporting easterly flow
across the Gulf of Mexico, which will result in some modest
low-level moisture advection into TX Gulf Coast. Additionally, low
to mid-level flow will increase across this region late
Tuesday/early Wednesday in response to a deepening surface low and
large-scale mass response. The resulting warm-air advection could
result in a few isolated thunderstorms along the TX Coast, beginning
across south TX early Tuesday before gradually shifting northward
throughout the period.

..Mosier.. 12/02/2024

$$

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