ACUS48 KWNS 300958
SWOD48
SPC AC 300956

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0356 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024

Valid 031200Z - 081200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A series of upper-level troughs will move across the northern
Plains, Great Lakes and Northeast U.S. during the Day 4-8 time
frame. Farther west, an upper low initially near the West Coast will
move slowly east across the southwest states/northern Mexico.
Low-level moisture will gradually increase from east TX eastward
across the central Gulf Coast Tuesday/D4-Thursday/D6, however latest
GEFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance reflects only weak instability
across this area and with large-scale lift remaining displaced well
to the north. Although some thunderstorm potential may ultimately
exist within this environment, the severe weather potential remains
low. Thereafter, very limited instability suggests continued low
severe potential through the remaining outlook period.

..Bunting.. 11/30/2024

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