ACUS03 KWNS 270805
SWODY3
SPC AC 270804

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 AM CST Wed Nov 27 2024

Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not currently expected on Friday.

...Synopsis...
A deep upper-level trough will encompass much of eastern North
America on Friday. A cold front, which may be accompanied by
isolated thunderstorms, will continue moving southward across the
Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula. Elsewhere, an expansive
surface ridge will maintain dry and stable conditions across most of
the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential.

...Florida...
Strong deep-layer flow will overlap modest buoyancy along/ahead of
the front across parts of the FL Peninsula on Friday, and a strong
storm or two cannot be ruled out early in the period. However, deep
convection may be impeded by weak frontal convergence and a capping
inversion aloft, in the absence of stronger large-scale ascent. Weak
elevated convection will be possible to the cool side of the front,
which could pose a low-probability threat of isolated/sporadic
lightning flashes.

..Dean.. 11/27/2024

$$

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