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echo: barktopus
to: Phil Payne
from: Adam
date: 2006-08-02 13:26:40
subject: Re: Mondo bizarro wrt water into wine

From: Adam 

Phil Payne wrote:
>> But....hey let's not get into that coz it would basically imply that
>> there was an Israeli incursion (as they have done frequently) which went
>> wrong & soldiers were killed & captured, to which Israel
responded with
>> missiles & bombs, to which hezbollah responded with missiles, with which
>> Israel responded with a much bigger incursion.
>
> I'm trying to get my mind around Israel's buffer zone.  It would take almost
> no effort to lengthen the various rockets' range to jump over it, and GPS
> costs $50 in bulk.  Or less.
>
>

It won't happen as the US & Israel are saying.

(A) Hezbollah will fold into the Lebanese mil & thus if the Lebanese
mil are patrolling the border....the exact same people will be there with
simply different uniforms on. OK maybe they will have the same uniforms but
different hats.

(B) They will get longer range precision weapons from both Iran & Saudi
as the 2 compete to prove their credentials. They will almost certainly get
anti-ship & SAM systems. Probably the SAM will initially fit the
Hezbollah resistance mode i.e. be non-emiting MANPADS. My guess is that
they will then acquire something like:

KH-55 GRANAT - AS-15 KENT

http://www.softwar.net/rfed.html

As the Iranians have them & would been keen to test them.


If you scroll down the page to :

SS-N-26 YAKHONT

Then be aware that Iran may have these too however I suspect those would be
harder for Iran to produce at home.


But hey.....not my problem so long as Blair is replaced.

Adam

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