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echo: weather
to: wx-storm@lists.illinois.e
from: COD Weather Processor
date: 2024-11-18 08:07:00
subject: DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Predic

ACUS03 KWNS 180807
SWODY3
SPC AC 180806

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0206 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2024

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe storms may develop on Wednesday across parts of the
Carolinas, posing a risk for severe wind gusts.

...Carolinas...
A mid-level trough is forecast to move eastward into the Ohio and
Tennessee Valleys on Wednesday, as a cold front advances eastward
into the southern Atlantic Coastal states. Ahead of the front,
surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F in the Carolinas will
contribute to weak destabilization, with isolated thunderstorm
development possible across parts of the moist sector during the
afternoon. In spite of minimal instability, the low-level moisture
combined with strong deep-layer shear, associated with an
approaching mid-level jet, may be enough for a marginal severe
threat. Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible in the central
Carolinas as temperatures peak in the afternoon.

..Broyles.. 11/18/2024

$$

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