ACUS02 KWNS 141721
SWODY2
SPC AC 141720

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 AM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday.

...Synopsis...
A maturing mid-latitude cyclone is forecast to begin the period over
eastern NC before then continuing eastward into the western
Atlantic. A few lightning flashes are possible within the warm
conveyor of this cyclone early Friday morning, but any higher storm
coverage is expected to remain well offshore.

The upper pattern farther west across the majority of the CONUS is
expected to amplify as a strong trough gradually progresses from the
West Coast to the Intermountain West, and downstream ridging across
the Plains builds as it moves through the MS Valley. By early
Saturday morning, the upper troughing is forecast to extend from
Alberta/Saskatchewan southwestward to off southern CA/northern Baja
Peninsula, and upper ridging will likely extend from the central
Gulf of Mexico through the Upper Great Lakes into northwestern
Ontario.

A few flashes are possible along the trough as it moves across
northern/central CA and into the Great Basin, supported by cold
mid-level temperatures and strong ascent. However, coverage is
currently expected to remain below 10%. A dry continental airmass
and warm mid-level temperatures will remain over the Plains,
precluding any buoyancy.

..Mosier.. 11/14/2024

$$

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