ACUS03 KWNS 081909
SWODY3
SPC AC 081908

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0108 PM CST Fri Nov 08 2024

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night.

...Synopsis...
The mid/upper cyclone over the Upper Midwest will shift
east/northeast into southern Quebec and the Northeast. A
quasi-stationary surface boundary will extend southwest from a Great
Lakes/southeastern Canada low into the Mid-South and east Texas.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible within the warm sector ahead
of the front. Poor lapse rates, weak instability and weakening
vertical shear will preclude severe thunderstorm potential.

A few thunderstorms may develop near the Pacific Northwest coast
late Sunday/early Monday as a shortwave upper trough approaches the
region. Additional thunderstorms also are possible across south FL
from late afternoon onward as moisture increases within a
southeasterly flow regime.

...Coastal Louisiana...

Forecast guidance continues to show some spread regarding the
central position of Rafael on Sunday. However, ECMWF ensembles
mostly still align with latest track guidance from the National
Hurricane Center, keeping the low well offshore the Gulf Coast. As
such, tornado potential is expected to remain low.

..Leitman.. 11/08/2024

$$

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