ACUS03 KWNS 070757
SWODY3
SPC AC 070755

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected on Saturday or Saturday night.

...Discussion...
A mid/upper low over the central High Plains at 12Z Saturday should
pivot northeastward towards MN/IA as it transitions to an open wave
by early Sunday. Occluded surface cyclone will track from western KS
to the Mid-MO Valley by Saturday evening. Trailing portion of its
attendant outflow-reinforced front should slow and eventually stall
late in the period across parts of AR towards the TX Gulf Coast.

Surface-based buoyancy will likely be confined well to the south of
a compact belt of strong mid-level south-southwesterlies surrounding
the low/trough. With weak mid-level lapse rates, elevated buoyancy
should remain meager north of the Ark-La-Tex. General thunderstorms
will be possible from the western Gulf Coast to the Ozarks and Lower
OH Valley. The severe-storm threat appears negligible.

..Grams.. 11/07/2024

$$

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