ACUS11 KWNS 032056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032055=20
OKZ000-032200-

Mesoscale Discussion 2194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0255 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024

Areas affected...portions of central Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 702...

Valid 032055Z - 032200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 702 continues.

SUMMARY...A maturing line of storms may pose a heightened threat for
severe winds and a few tornadoes over the next 1-2 hours as it
approaches I-35.

DISCUSSION...As of 2050 UTC, KFDR and KTLX radar imagery showed a
maturing thunderstorm cluster has become better organized over the
last 30 minutes as it has moved across southwestern OK. Emerging
from an initial group of several independent supercells, the storm
mode has trended towards a bowing/line segment over time. This trend
will likely continue as it tracks along and near the stalled frontal
zone over central OK. Radar velocity measurements have shown
periodic strong outflow surges with embedded mesovorticies. Large
low-level streamwise vorticity and strong 0-3 km line-normal shear
evident on the TLX VAD hodograph will continue to favor a balanced
QLCS mode as convection approaches the I-35 corridor in the next
60-90 minutes. Given the strong shear, linear mode, and potential
for mature mesovorticies, damaging winds (some 70+ mph) a few
embedded tornadoes are likely in central OK in the next 1-2 hours.

..Lyons.. 11/03/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-hr9-42yXj-NFXdV_y_0mSy_GJ3zjkUHHhhnwwg-PmqyGq8eskUK3ZxD50NY02jh7J-8a0Y1v=
XmugAkD3DzXT-f3ldk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

LAT...LON   35719715 35609697 35279687 34959689 34849707 34669760
            34579864 35309857 35639784 35729740 35719715=20


=3D =3D =3D
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