ACUS11 KWNS 302003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302003=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-302200-

Mesoscale Discussion 2164
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0303 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

Areas affected...northeast Kansas into southeast Nebraska and far
northwest Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 302003Z - 302200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Airmass recovery should result in some severe storms this
afternoon and evening.

DISCUSSION...Widespread showers and thunderstorms across northeast
Kansas has stunted destabilization thus far. However, some clearing
and low-level moisture advection in the wake of the morning activity
has started to destabilize parts of northeast Kansas. A line of
storms is starting to organize across central Kansas which is
expected to continue to grow upscale as it moves northeast. Expect
sufficient destabilization ahead of this line of storms for some
threat for severe wind gusts, large hail, and potentially a few
tornadoes (along and south of the front). A tornado watch will
likely need to be issued within the next hour or two across
northeast Kansas, to fill the gap between watch 693 and 694.

..Bentley/Gleason.. 10/30/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9E5oF5QItZGPB54fvIIJZWxLJ3gnxdYa9iTzmWD6lboAQN2rIweTCYKrO7PDtSf-PhcR80TLk=
CzPcUjxxAPJ4QLK-Z0$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   38709796 39259727 39969597 40299515 40279402 40039335
            39259334 38549390 38279506 38109600 38219708 38479809
            38709796=20


=3D =3D =3D
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