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echo: weather
to: wx-storm@lists.illinois.e
from: COD Weather Processor
date: 2024-10-26 17:05:00
subject: DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic

ACUS02 KWNS 261705
SWODY2
SPC AC 261703

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1203 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2024

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday along the coastal
Pacific Northwest. Severe weather appears unlikely.

...Synopsis...
An upper-level trough will move into the Pacific Northwest with
broader cyclonic flow extending into the intermountain region.
Ridging aloft will be the primary feature east of the Divide as
another upper-level trough in parts of the Northeast continues to
move offshore during the period. A Pacific surface front will
continue to move eastward along with the western upper-level system.

...Coastal Washington/Oregon...
Within the post-frontal environment, cold temperatures aloft will
promote sufficient buoyancy for isolated thunderstorms. Depth of
convection will likely remain marginally supportive of charge
separation, limiting overall coverage. There may be a brief period
where modest low-level wind enhancement could overlap with peak
buoyancy (200-300 J/kg MUCAPE) leading to weak low-level rotation in
the strongest storms. Even so, a few strong, sub-severe wind gusts
along the coast are all that is expected at this time.

..Wendt.. 10/26/2024

$$

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