ACUS01 KWNS 260047
SWODY1
SPC AC 260045
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0745 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential is fairly low tonight.
...01z Update...
Low-amplitude, positive-tilt short-wave trough is progressing across
the Appalachians early this evening. Isolated thunderstorms
developed ahead of this feature earlier today, but nocturnal cooling
and weak buoyancy are now inhibiting deeper updrafts, as is the
passage of the short wave. Even so, surface front trails across
southeast MO-northern AR-southeast OK-north TX, and this may provide
sufficient convergence for weak convection. Weak instability
continues along this portion of the front and a flash or two of
lightning can not be ruled out with deeper updrafts, primarily for
the next few hours. Otherwise, the probability for thunderstorms is
generally less than 10%.
..Darrow.. 10/26/2024
$$
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