From: "Mark Hessey" 


"Rich Gauszka"  wrote in message
news:400dfc3f$1{at}w3.nls.net...
> I wonder how long it will take to go from retention crisis to The Draft?

A long, long, long time.
http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/0120/p02s02-usmi.html
Combat fatigue? In some ways Iraq duty helps Army

"Moreover, although the deployments are placing unprecedented demands
on the all-volunteer military, recruitment and retention are generally
holding up, official statistics show. In the 2003 fiscal year, all four
services met their recruiting and retention goals, with the exception of a
retention shortfall in the Army reserves.
Indeed, contrary to popular belief, deployments have historically had a
positive effect on retention, at least initially.

Some units in Iraq and Afghanistan report high retention rates. For
example, mobilized Naval Reservists have a higher rate of retention than
those not called up, naval reserve chief Vice Admiral John Totushek told a
May 2003 hearing. At the same hearing, the Army National Guard Bureau
chief, Lt. Gen. Steven Blum, said he saw no evidence of a long-term
recruiting or retention problem, adding, "so far ... it's been quite
the opposite."

--- BBBS/NT v4.01 Flag-5