ACUS03 KWNS 210728
SWODY3
SPC AC 210727
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0227 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2024
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough and surface cold front will move from the Great
Lakes to the Northeast on Wednesday. Weak instability is forecast to
develop across western New York and vicinity during the afternoon.
Shallow convection and a few lightning flashes will be possible
along this cold front as it moves quickly across portions of the
northeast Wednesday afternoon. A strong, mostly unidirectional wind
profile will be present which could cause some gusty winds with
these showers and thunderstorms. If greater instability and more
robust convection can develop, some damaging wind gusts could be
possible with this strongly forced convection. However, at this
time, forecast instability is very weak and thus, no severe weather
probabilities are justified.
..Bentley.. 10/21/2024
$$
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