ACUS48 KWNS 190849
SWOD48
SPC AC 190848

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0348 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Valid 221200Z - 271200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A shortwave trough is expected to move into the Midwest before
phasing with a broader upper-level trough in the Great Lakes region
by the middle of next week. Access to Gulf moisture will become more
restricted as this feature moves eastward. Across parts of the West
and Plains, an upper-level ridge will develop and shift east through
the remainder of the week into the weekend. The upper-level pattern
becomes less certain during the weekend, but at least a brief period
of quasi-zonal flow aloft is currently expected. With another
cold-frontal intrusion into the Gulf expected to occur late this
week, moisture availability/quality for any shortwave troughs moving
through the westerlies is highly uncertain. Severe weather potential
continues to appear low through next weekend.

..Wendt.. 10/19/2024

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