ACUS03 KWNS 190730
SWODY3
SPC AC 190729

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Potential for severe weather appears low on Monday.

...Synopsis...
A compact shortwave trough will be ejecting into the southern High
Plains late Sunday/early Monday. This trough will move into the
central Plains by early afternoon. Some precipitation can be
expected early Monday in association with this trough. A Pacific
front will continue eastward into the central/southern Plains. With
dry air remaining east of the front, the band of moisture ahead of
the front is expected to become increasingly narrow with time.

With the stronger forcing for ascent in Kansas, a few thunderstorms
are possible along the surface front in south-central Kansas. Given
the limited moisture, buoyancy will also be limited as will the
extent of the warm sector. There could be an isolated stronger storm
or two, but severe coverage appears too limited and uncertain for
unconditional probabilities at this time. Dewpoints in low 60s F are
possible in western Oklahoma. However, convergence along the front
appears weak and initiation is far from certain.

..Wendt.. 10/19/2024

$$

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