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echo: barktopus
to: John Cuccia
from: Adam
date: 2006-09-12 09:27:46
subject: Re: Lost cause

From: Adam 

John Cuccia wrote:
> I wonder if history will dub the invasion of Iraq as Bush's Folly? The
> US Marine Corps is considerably less optimistic about the chances of
> success (at least in western Iraq) than are the President and his
> apologists.
>
> http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/headline/nation/4176809.html
> WASHINGTON - The chief of intelligence for the Marine Corps in Iraq
> recently filed an unusual secret report concluding that the prospects
> for securing that country's western Anbar province are dim and that
> there is almost nothing the U.S. military can do to improve the
> political and social situation there, said several military officers
> and intelligence officials familiar with its contents.
>
> and
>
>
> Devlin reports that there are no functioning Iraqi government
> institutions in Anbar, leaving a vacuum that has been filled by
> al-Qaida in Iraq, which has become the province's most significant
> political force, said the Army officer, who has read the report.
>
> Devlin offers a series of reasons for the situation, including a lack
> of U.S. and Iraqi troops, said people who have read it. These people
> said he reported that not only are military operations facing a
> stalemate, unable to extend and sustain security beyond the perimeters
> of their bases, but local governments in the province have collapsed,
> and the weak central government has almost no presence.
>
>
>
>
The Arab lands will fall to the shia. It won't be pretty & it will be
sure to annoy Washington wrt the "Shia arc" but it will happen.

Initially the focus is from the Gulf to Baghdad up the rivers & then
they'll move onto the Syrian/Jordanian/Kurdish border. Lot's of "sunni
insurgents" make a great case for an "iron hand".


Adam

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